Insights
Lather, rinse, repeat?
The major market news of the month was the re-election of Donald Trump as the 47th President of the United States of America.
It doesn’t always pay to play favourites
October proved to be a quieter month, with markets experiencing generally weaker performance as the US election approached.
A strong quarter, with a surprise ending
As the quarter drew to a close, we experienced two major events that influenced market rotation.
What do they know that we don't?
At Human Financial, we remain of the view that we are in the midst of an economic regime change: from growth into slowdown. Some data points are already signalling a recession.
Volatility: Are you sinking or sailing?
Investing is like sailing. Occasionally you’re cruising on a mirrored lake, but mostly it’s choppy.
The bear in bull’s clothing
Equity market returns for the second quarter were decidedly mixed across the board.
Australians are in a price vice
The Australian consumer is now so tightly squeezed that some households are making dangerous sacrifices to make ends meet.
Market Brief: Consumer stress
Watch now: Australian consumer stress and the impact on corporates
April fooled the bulls
Two market forces, emerging simultaneously, confirm our current preference for capital preservation.
Extra hot or extra strong?
In the last couple of months of 2023, global economic data surprises had been falling into neutral (zero) territory suggesting expectations were no longer being exceeded.
Fed about-face
December rounded out a strong 2023 for most financial markets with an additional rally into year end.
On patience and persistence
“The two most powerful warriors are patience and time.” – Leo Tolstoy
Spooky September
If an event or trend occurs at the same time each year, it is referred to as “seasonality”.
Beat the heat before the storm
Sultry heat and then ominous calm: the usual portents of a ferocious storm. In financial markets too, 2023 continues to heat up.
Busy bee central bankers
The busy bees of the second quarter were undoubtedly the world’s central banks, who were simultaneously raising interest rates and warning about future increases.
Sleep soundly, but avoid the hangover
Like wine, term deposits help you to sleep deeply, but they can cause longer-term headaches for investment portfolios. Short-dated investment-grade corporate bonds can be a useful remedy.
Timeless style
The oldest debate in investing is centred on Value vs Growth investment styles. It’s not as intense as the State of Origin, but it can be heated.

