Market Brief: The Market Volcano
Volcanologists will tell you that eruptions don’t occur to the regular beat of a metronome. Long-run data does, however, give scientists a statistical recurrence interval: useful for hazard planning over decades, but useless for calling next Tuesday. Markets are no different.
Global markets are showing all the signs of... a four-way see-saw. The mega-cap trade has fractured internally, and the stakes have become increasingly quad-polar, says Angus Sippe, Human Financial's CIO.
AI capex is one of the largest bets in corporate history. The technology works — that's not in question. What's still open is who actually captures the value.
How do investors cope with a trifecta of market convulsions: El Nino, the impending IPOs of three AI giants, and looming changes to CGT? Take a listen to Angus Sippe's rational approach to portfolio management in a time of uncertainty.
"She'll be right" is an Australian expression that embodies a distinct cultural characteristic: a relaxed fatalism, born from generations of making do in a landscape that doesn't always cooperate. Global markets seem to have adopted the same philosophy: despite everything thrown at them, investors are shrugging it off. But while "she'll be right" is a helpful personal disposition, it's not a sensible risk management framework, says Human Financial CIO Angus Sippe.
Human Financial CIO Angus Sippe observes a bevy of black swans now circling global markets: a US war, stagflation, and a squeeze on private markets.
