
Insights
Lather, rinse, repeat?
The major market news of the month was the re-election of Donald Trump as the 47th President of the United States of America.
Market Brief: Australia has over 200% of GDP in debt
Watch now: Australia has over 200% of GDP in debt - that's more than emerging markets
It doesn’t always pay to play favourites
October proved to be a quieter month, with markets experiencing generally weaker performance as the US election approached.
A strong quarter, with a surprise ending
As the quarter drew to a close, we experienced two major events that influenced market rotation.
Market Brief: Stay patient!
Watch now: Federal Reserve’s jumbo cut, the RBA holds, and the state of the US polls post-debate
What do they know that we don't?
At Human Financial, we remain of the view that we are in the midst of an economic regime change: from growth into slowdown. Some data points are already signalling a recession.
Market Brief: The economic cycle transition
Watch now: Where we are in the economic cycle, and how interest rates might be affected
Volatility: Are you sinking or sailing?
Investing is like sailing. Occasionally you’re cruising on a mirrored lake, but mostly it’s choppy.
Market Brief: US earnings season, AUD moves, and interest rates outlook
Watch now: US earnings season, AUD moves, and the outlook for interest rates in Australia
The bear in bull’s clothing
Equity market returns for the second quarter were decidedly mixed across the board.
Market Brief: Elections, Central Bank movements, and Aussie inflation
Watch now: elections in the US, UK and France, Central Bank movements, and Aussie inflation
Australians are in a price vice
The Australian consumer is now so tightly squeezed that some households are making dangerous sacrifices to make ends meet.
Market Brief: Consumer stress
Watch now: Australian consumer stress and the impact on corporates
April fooled the bulls
Two market forces, emerging simultaneously, confirm our current preference for capital preservation.
Market Brief: Earnings, growth & inflation
Watch now: US corporate earnings, US growth, and inflation re-accelerating
Market Brief: The AI bubble
Watch now: US corporate earnings, US growth, and inflation re-accelerating
Extra hot or extra strong?
In the last couple of months of 2023, global economic data surprises had been falling into neutral (zero) territory suggesting expectations were no longer being exceeded.
Fed about-face
December rounded out a strong 2023 for most financial markets with an additional rally into year end.